Riggs Report

Flashing Yellow Light Market Volatility Becoming a Concern

Our theme for 2015 for both the equity market and the bond market has been rising volatility and we have certainly seen that play out as the year progressed. As markets have swung up or down depending on that days headline, whether it is apprehension of a Euro crisis driven by a Greek exit or an improving jobs report here in the US that raises concern of inflation, market volatility is becoming a concern.

 

The major US equity indices ended …

Volatility Still With Us

As we discussed in our January Riggs Report, Volatility But Higher, we expected to see increased volatility in both the equity and fixed income markets in 2015. So far, the year is playing out as we expected. We have seen a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and in the earnings growth for U.S. companies. As a result, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indices ended the quarter flat to down. The bond market has moved up and down …

Volatility But Higher

U.S. equity market volatility increased in 2014 driven by slowing economies in Europe and Asia and an increase in regional conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East. The U.S. markets served as the safe haven for investors where areas such as large cap equities and long term U.S. Government bonds benefited the most from the 2014 flight to safety.

As we turn to 2015, Europe is on the edge of deflation (risking a lost decade or worse), Asia continues …

Understanding What it Means to Manage Risk

The Riggs’ Investment Team manages investments with the belief that if you navigate well through high risk markets, the upside will take care of itself.  So how does Riggs manage risk in the investment markets?  First, we identify and pay for the best independent research sources we can find.  From those sources, we get tremendous data—from current market momentum and strength indicators to historical similarities to previous markets to global economic data.  Next, we use the perspective of our in-house …

Is a Pullback Near?

When will we see a market correction?  That seems to be the question we are getting most frequently from clients and others.  For now, the answer is “not yet” as our indicators are still mildly positive with continued demand for stocks and low volatility in the market.  We expect the stock market to continue to drift higher and the bond market to remain relatively benign through the summer.

As we look ahead, we do have some concerns looming on the …

A Long Winter

The first quarter was one marked by rising volatility in the stock market with a correction in January where the S&P 500 pulled back -5.8% and the DJIA pulled back by -7.3%. By the end of March the S&P 500 was up slightly for the year while the DJIA was down slightly for the year. Through this we took the opportunity to capture some of the large profits earned in our equity portfolios over the past two years. With those …

2014 Investment Outlook

Riggs’ clients had a good year in 2013 with both our equity and fixed income portfolios performing well.  It was also a transition year where we saw the largest outperformance by stocks over bonds since 1958. We believe this is a theme that we will see replayed for many years to come.

So, with 2013 in the books what are our expectations for 2014?

  • Our research indicates that we could see the U.S. economy grow in the 2.5% to 3%

So This Is The Can…Down The Road

In our January, 2013 Riggs’ Report, we discussed the fiscal cliff and debt ceiling negotiations at length. So here we are nine months later, in the midst of a government shutdown surrounded by rancorous debate on both sides of the aisle and the investment markets getting increasingly frustrated with the lack of leadership and governance at the federal level.  But this is not new territory for our country.  In fact, over the past 32 years, Congress has only passed the …

The Effects of Easing Hit Wall Street

The first quarter of 2013 began with “Fiscal Cliff” concerns and a stalemate in Washington over the budgetary issues facing the United States.   The quarter is ending with concerns over sequestration, the debt ceiling, saber rattling in North Korea, the Cypriot Banking system failure, and the inability of leaders in Europe to manage the issues facing the European Union.  Underpinning all of this is the largest global expansion of Large Scale Asset Purchase Program (LSAPP) or Quantitative Easing (QE) in …

2013 Investment Outlook

Despite some news‐driven volatility, the U.S. equity markets ended the year positive. While the zero interest rate policies from the Federal Reserve continued to pressure income‐oriented investors. Overall, 2012 was a good year for Riggs’ clients.

Looking ahead in 2013, we are starting to see signs that a growth phase may be re‐emerging in developing markets led by China. We believe the U.S. housing market will continue to recover and we believe there are opportunities for investors in the auto …